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Saturday Tropics Update


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad and complex area of low pressure over the eastern tropical 
Atlantic Ocean is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
The interaction of this feature with an approaching tropical wave 
could support some gradual development of the system during the 
early and middle parts of next week while it moves slowly westward 
to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Eastern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is 
producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental 
conditions could become more conducive for slow development of this 
system during the early or middle part of next week while it moves 
generally westward at 10 to 15 mph across the central and 
northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

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