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Monday Afternoon Tropics Update


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located a couple hundred miles southeast of the 
easternmost Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear only 
marginally favorable, and any development of this wave should be 
slow to occur while it moves westward or west-northwestward across 
the eastern tropical Atlantic through the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located midway between the west coast of Africa and 
the Windward Islands continues to produce a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some slow development of 
this system is possible over the next several days while it moves 
generally westward to west-northwestward over the central tropical 
Atlantic and approaches the Windward Islands by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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