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Friday Tropics Update




Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Danielle, located about 925 miles west of the Azores.

1. East of the Leeward Islands:
Satellite imagery indicates there has been little change in the 
organization of the area of low pressure located several hundred 
miles east of the Leeward Islands during the past several hours. 
Although environmental conditions remain only marginally conducive, 
any additional development of the system over the next few days 
would lead to the formation of a tropical depression.  The 
disturbance is expected to move slowly west-northwestward, toward 
the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward Islands.  Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rains may occur over portions of the 
Leeward Islands during the next couple of days, and interests in 
that area should monitor the progress of the system. An Air Force 
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the 
system this afternoon, if necessary. Additional information on this 
system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure 
located just northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has increased 
some over the last several hours, but remains poorly organized. 
This system is moving into an area of less favorable environmental 
conditions, and significant development is not anticipated. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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