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Friday Tropics Update



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Lisa, located inland over southeastern Mexico.

1. East-Southeast of Bermuda:
A weak non-tropical area of low pressure located several hundred 
miles east-southeast of Bermuda is producing a few disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms well to the east of its center. Any 
tropical or subtropical development of this disturbance should be 
slow to occur during the next couple of days while it moves little 
through today and then turns westward over the weekend. The system 
is forecast to merge with a larger low pressure area developing to 
its southwest by the end of the weekend, and further development is 
not anticipated once this occurs.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Southwestern Atlantic:
A large non-tropical low pressure system is expected to develop this 
weekend across the northeastern Caribbean Sea and southwestern 
Atlantic. The system is expected to initially be very broad and 
disorganized, but environmental conditions could support gradual 
subtropical or tropical development beginning early next week while 
it moves generally northwestward or westward over the southwestern 
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
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