For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A trough of low pressure located along the coast of Honduras is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development is possible today while the disturbance drifts west-northwestward over the Gulf of Honduras. Subsequent development is unlikely once the system moves inland over northern Central America and southeastern Mexico Saturday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over Honduras, Belize and southeastern Mexico through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.